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Cal football players celebrate with the Stanford Axe after winning the 125th Big Game at Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, Calif., on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022. Cal defeated Stanford 27-20. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
Cal football players celebrate with the Stanford Axe after winning the 125th Big Game at Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, Calif., on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022. Cal defeated Stanford 27-20. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
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The daunting question surrounding Big Game this year is not who will win.

It’s whether the Stanford and Cal athletic programs will survive in the fast-changing world of college sports.

Most fans have moved on from the collapse of the Pac-12 Conference and migration of our programs to the Atlantic Coast Conference. The events were written off as sad eventualities of an economic system that most fans neither understand nor want to unravel.

Understanding the future of college football in a Name, Image and Likeness world while media companies such as ESPN go through turmoil is just too much business to worry about. After all, most fans view this as just a game for bragging rights.

But that’s a dangerous view that could endanger every sport at both schools, not just football.

Here’s the sobering reality that Stanford and Cal collectively face: If we don’t take the business of college football and, by extension, all college athletics seriously, we won’t be part of it in the next three to five years. Our respective athletic programs, including all the great Olympic and professional athletes we take such great pride in, may disappear like dew under a morning sun.

If we continue to let the likes of Fox, NBC, and ESPN control the college football landscape, the more than 100 teams that currently play Division I football will be reduced to somewhere between 32 and 64 very quickly. The demise of the Pac-12 has already left Washington State and Oregon State as homeless discards. Their athletic programs are about to decline without the kind of money that comes with being in a major conference.

As it is, both Stanford and Cal are essentially paying for the right to be in the ACC just so we can continue what is an elaborate game of musical chairs. The truth is that many schools in the ACC didn’t want us. Not just because they loathe the inconvenience of the travel. It’s more about how they don’t want to share the money.

What Stanford and Cal, as institutions that share more than a century of rivalry both on the field and in the classroom, need to understand is that college football needs fundamental change. I’m not talking about controlling Name, Image and Likeness. That’s a small issue in the grand scheme.

Stanford cornerback Ethan Bonner (13) breaks up a pass intended for California wide receiver Monroe Young (14) during the second half of the 125th Big Game at Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, Calif., on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022. Cal defeated Stanford 27-20. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)
Stanford cornerback Ethan Bonner (13) breaks up a pass intended for California wide receiver Monroe Young (14) during the second half of the 125th Big Game at Memorial Stadium in Berkeley, Calif., on Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022. Cal defeated Stanford 27-20. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group) 

What I’m talking about is the fundamental approach to whether big-time college football (and, transitively, big-time college athletics) is a game for only 32 schools that really care or if can it exist on a larger level.

In other words, do we get to be part of the party or not?

Traditionally, we want to be there. It’s in our DNA as institutions to want to compete at the highest levels of everything we touch. That’s why Big Game is symbolically important even if it rarely means much in the grand scheme of college football.

Stanford and Cal are the academic equals of any institution you can name. Harvard, Yale, MIT, CalTech … we bow to no one. Where we differ from those schools is that we want to take on the challenge of being great in athletics. All athletics, from football to women’s basketball and anything else we play. We may not be like Alabama or Ohio State or USC when it comes to football tradition, but that doesn’t mean we’re afraid to compete.

That is what makes us unique. We all have respect for Harvard, Yale, MIT and CalTech, but we want to be Stanford or we want to be Cal. We want to blaze our own trail in the world of human performance and achievement.

Many people will leave this problem to be handled by athletic directors Bernard Muir (Stanford) or Jim Knowlton (Cal) and whoever takes over for departed Stanford President Marc Tessier-Lavigne or the next chancellor after Carol Christ leaves Cal at the end of the academic year.

That’s the wrong approach. This is a problem that will require their expertise in navigating relationships with other colleges. But this is a multi-billion-dollar problem that requires a much bigger approach. College athletics is big business.

We need our sharpest business people and our best lawyers. We need to use our extensive contacts in the media world, particularly at places like Google, Amazon and YouTube. Frankly, we should be leading the way with those companies since we helped build them. We need to map out a future in which colleges control their athletic product the way the NFL protects its product.

More than anything, we need people who are emotional stakeholders in Stanford and Cal. We need people who understand what athletics means to us and that Big Game is a symbol of something greater. We need people who stole The Axe, painted the “C” red, and/or painted bear tracks all over The Farm.

We need the energy that will be on display Saturday to carry us through the much greater battle for survival.

Jason Cole is a 1984 graduate of Stanford and longtime sportswriter, selector for the Pro Football Hall of Fame, and has authored eight books, including “Elway: A Relentless Life”. More importantly, he and his buddies once painted the “C” at Cal red with the help of a sprinkler system they planted weeks ahead of time, once built a 12 1/2-foot-tall football with laces reading “Beat Cal” and placed it under the finger of the statue of “holder” Father Junipero Serra off I-280, and is still angry from being at Cal for a flagrant robbery in 1982.